NYC Mayor Election Date
The next NYC mayoral election is on November 4, 2025. Zohran Mamdani won the Democratic primary on June 24 and will be the Democratic nominee. Meanwhile, current Mayor Eric Adams is running for reelection as an independent, skipping the Democratic primary. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo is also expected to run as an independent under his “Fight and Deliver” party line. On the Republican side, Curtis Sliwa (the 2021 GOP nominee) is running again. Another independent in the race is Jim Walden, a former federal prosecutor.
Who is Likely to Win NYC Mayor Election 2025
What Latest Polls are Saying?
Polling Date & Sample: Conducted on June 25, 2025 with 817 likely voters.
Three-Way Tie Scenario:
- Zohran Mamdani (D): 39%
- Andrew Cuomo (I): 39%
- Eric Adams (I): 13%
- Jim Walden (I): 0%, Undecided: 2%
Mamdani vs Adams vs Walden:
- Zohran Mamdani leads with 46%
- Eric Adams: 31%, Jim Walden: 2%
- Undecided: 10%
Mamdani vs Cuomo (Head-to-Head):
- Andrew Cuomo: 44%
- Zohran Mamdani: 40%
- Jim Walden: 1%, Undecided: 5%
Curtis Sliwa (R): Consistently polls at 11% in all matchups.
This mayoral race is shaping up to be a tight contest between Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani and independent Andrew Cuomo. Latest poll shows them tied at 39% each, while incumbent Eric Adams trails at 13% as an independent and Republican Curtis Sliwa holds 7%. Mamdani gained momentum by winning the Democratic primary with 56% of the vote, rallying young progressive voters, but Cuomo remains competitive with moderate support through his “Fight and Deliver” party line.
Despite his primary loss, Cuomo poses the biggest threat to Mamdani’s lead due to his name recognition and decent favorability ratings (56% positive). Meanwhile, Adams’ campaign struggles with low approval (67% disapproval) and corruption allegations, weakening his chances. This sets up a potential spoiler scenario where Cuomo could split the anti-progressive vote, while Adams’ continued presence further fractures the electorate.
Currently, Mamdani holds the edge as the Democratic standard-bearer in a blue city, but the race remains fluid. If Cuomo consolidates moderate and independent voters, he could close the gap. The final outcome may hinge on whether Adams’ supporters migrate to Cuomo and how effectively Mamdani mobilizes his progressive base in this crowded field.
